PLEASE VISIT FOR CURRENT POSTS WWW.FIRSTTRADES.IN

~Om Sri Maha Ganapataye Namah~ ~Om Sri Maha Lakshmyai Namah~ Please visit

What's being said about... Indian Stock Market

Due to some technical difficulty at Google end Stock Market Prediction and Stock Calls Tips blog have been put offline. My sincere apologies for any inconvenience. I have raised the issue with Google and am waiting for their response.

Thursday 14 August 2008

Failing Of A Long Jump

Has the wheel started moving? Last week I had presented the scenario of How Will The Bear Market Saga Unfold? Inspite of all the pseudo positive atmosphere being created by various components of Indian Stock Market and its valued participants, Nifty failed to reach those heights ( read 5000 and above). After a week if we take stock , things are not as rosy as it is being projected by vested parties. I think there is something fishy in the way markets are being made to behave. The day IIP data was going to be published a valued B-Channel flashed IIP data before it was officially published and that too incomplete/wrong. What can be the motive behind this? Markets however reacted to the data being flashed. It high time the regulators take note of the parties who are trying to manipulate markets.

On the other hand Interactive iPath MSCI India Index ETN (INP) has fallen almost 5.5% till 13.08.08 while Nifty fell by 2.2% only last week. Another omnious sign for the coming week. Not to forget that we have a truncated week and by the time we open on Monday ( 18.08.08) much water would have flown under the bridge. Scenario in US and Europe are not rosy too.

Charts as on today also don't look like there is much cheer for BULLS next week.
In the daily charts Nifty is still in the channel. RSI, MACD and Slow Stoch are all indicating falls next week. In the weekly charts RSI has turned down after facing resistance at 50 levels ( indicated by blue line). Slow stoch ( weekly) is indicative of the BEAR week coming next.
So in true Olympic spirit the much awaited long jump of Nifty from 3790 to supposedly 5000 and above has failed. The path to the failure was indicated in my last post How Will The Bear Market Saga Unfold? 
" 4577.53 4558.30 4539.07 4500.60 4462.13 4442.90 4423.67 4385.20 4346.73 4327.50 4308.27 4269.80 4231.33 4212.10 4192.87 4154.40 4115.93 4096.70 4077.47 4039.00 4000.53 3981.30 3962.07 3923.60 3885.13 3865.90 3846.67 3808.20 3769.73 3750.50 3731.27 3692.80 3654.33 3635.10 3615.87 3577.40 3538.93 3519.70 3500.47 3462.00 3423.53 3404.30 3385.07 3346.60 3308.13 3288.90 3269.67 3231.20 "  Figures in red have all been achieved this week . Just check how the lows of the week match with the levels.



Important Levels for this week are:
Upside - 4457.84, 4476.26, 4494.68, 4531.53, 4568.37, 4586.79, 4605.21, 4642.05
Downside : 4611.25, 4591.88, 4572.5, 4533.75, 4495, 4475.63, 4456.25, 4417.5, 4378.75, 4359.38, 4340, 4301.25, 4262.5, 4243.13, 4223.75, 4185, 4146.25, 4126.88, 4107.5, 4068.75, 4030, 4010.63, 3991.25, 3952.5


Jesse Livermore


"The price pattern reminds you that every movement of importance is but a repetition of similar price movements, that just as soon as you can familiarize yourself with the actions of the past, you will be able to anticipate and act correctly and profitably upon forthcoming movements.

I never hesitate to tell a man that I am bullish or bearish. But I do not tell people to buy or sell any particular stock. In a bear market all stocks go down and in a bull market they go up. "

Mean while for a read this week
The 5 C's of Trading Consistency

"To summarize, the 5 C's of trading consistency are:


• Clarity
• Commitment
• Courage
• Confidence
• Calmness

Consistency is most difficult and most readily proven during tough times. How someone weathers the storms demonstrates their skills."

2 comments:

vsangeeth said...

gr8 post bro.but i think we might test 4700-4800 levels again and only will correct from there....
my reason for this is that retailers are selling their delivery positions in many of the local brokerages,and pessimism still prevails....only if the market crosses the psycho level of 200sma 4700-4800 range,the retailers will buy back their shares,and optimism will come back...from that level we can easily fall to 3600-3400 with in some 40 trading days.......
i expect the market to recover and reach that level between sep 1 & 2 weeks..

Anonymous said...

I am sanjeev from share tips expert team. I am a technical Analyst. I like to read a lot. share market tips Play a crucial role in today’s economy; they are the key contributors towards a country’s GDP growth. India in the last decade has established itself as a powerful economy and it is growing at a healthy rate. One of the key constituents of India’s robust economy is its stock market. The stock market tips dates back to the eighteenth century. However, the real journey of the Indian Stock market began in the middle of the nineteenth century with the passing of the “Company’s Act” in 1850. The primary driving forces behind the development of the Indian Stock market were the native shares and the stock broker’s Association.



We provide intraday tips and MCX tips.

You are welcome to visit my website for updated prices and other information of all Indian trading scripts

Market Watch

Nifty-50 Heatmap Market Watch Few Interesting Charts
This site is dedicated to all traders and friends who don't have access to expensive softwares to provide them with live charts to enable them to trade judiciously. Even I don't have one and when I joined VFMDirect ( excellent site) I was astonished at the ease with which the forum members used technical indicators like Rsi and Stoch in live markets for profitable trading. Kudos to Mr Kamlesh Langote and seniors for creating and maintaining such a beautiful source of learning in this materialistic world. Then I realised the importance of something live ( or at the least delayed) information source for effective Share Market Trading. This is my endeavour to bring all the important informations/technical indicators at one source point for a safe and profitable trading. Do use this site as your source of information in your day to day trading. I have tried to make the blog as user friendly as I can but please feel free to give your suggestions through comments.
Also, I would like to recommend Nifty intraday charts for live technical levels and world markets. Great site!!!

Watch this space for more information in the coming weeks on...........

, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,
The information and views contained on this blog are personal and believed to be reliable, but no responsibility (or liability) is accepted for errors of fact or opinion. The information on this website is updated from time to time. The blog however excludes any warranties (whether expressed or implied), as to the quality, accuracy, efficacy, completeness, performance, fitness or any of the contents of the website, including (but not limited) to any comments, feedback and advertisements contained within the Site.Use of this service is at the sole risk of the user / client. The data and information provided in the web site is not professional advice and should not be relied upon as such.The blog may at any time be edited, altered and or remove any information in whole or in part that may be available on this blog and that it shall not be held responsible for all or any actions that may subsequently result into any loss, damage and or liability.